Final Playoff Predictions Plus Key Games

We still have some craziness out in front of us. Even though all of the spots are clinched in the American League, there is still some things yet to be played out. For example, the AL Central.


The last time that I published an article, the White Sox were 3 games ahead. Now they're 1 game back. That could change tonight, as we could be facing a 3 way tie at the end of the season. Let's take a look at that, plus other scenarios that could unfold in the AL Central:


Scenario 1: Twins win division

This seems to be the most likely scenario. They have 2 games against the Reds at home. If they win both games against the Reds, it's an automatic bid. If they win 1 and the Indians and White Sox both lose, it's also automatic.


Scenario 2: 2 Way Tie between the Twins and Indians

This is another likely scenario, which would happen if the Twins won one game and lost the other, and the Indians won against the Pirates twice. The White Sox would have to lose at least one game.


Scenario 3: 2 Way Tie between the Twins and White Sox

The White Sox would have to win their 2 remaining games and the Twins would have to lose a game. This seems unlikely.


Scenario 4: 3 Way Tie

Ah, the interesting one. To know what would happen here, we have to take a look at the tiebreakers.


Tiebreakers for a 3 way tie:

  1. Record against the two other clubs combined.

  2. If two teams are tied, record against the other club.

  3. If all three teams are still tied, intradivision record.

  4. Intradivision record.


Let's take a look at what would have to happen for this scenario to even occur in the first place:


Sub-Scenario 1:

Twins lose 1 game, White Sox and Indians both win 2 games.


Sub-Scenario 2:

Twins lose 2 games, White Sox and Indians both win 1 game.


Either way, let's take a look at who would get the tiebreakers:

  1. Twins

  2. Indians

  3. White Sox

National League:

There are 2 spots still to be taken, with 5 teams still mathematically in contention. Let's take a look at them:


1. Cardinals

Although they haven't clinched yet, they are almost there. They aren't going to play a full 60 games, but that likely won't be a problem for them. As of right now, they're 29-27.

2. Giants

They're 29-29 right now. Their main competitor are the Phillies. To eliminate the Phillies, they have to win at least 1 game while the Phillies lose at least 1 game. Of course, they could also win 2 games or the Phillies could lose 2 games, but the Phillies hold the tiebreaker over the Giants.


3. Phillies

If they win 2 games and the Giants win 1 game, they can get into the playoffs. Remember, they hold the tiebreaker over the Giants.


4. Brewers

It would take something unexpected for the Brewers to get into the Playoffs. This is a little more complicated. They would have to grab a Wild Card spot, which would consist of the Brewers winning 2 games, the Giants winning 1, and the Phillies winning 1. They could also win only one game, but the Giants and Phillies would have to lose both.


5. Mets

This is the most unlikely scenario. The Mets would have to win all three of their remaining games, and the Phillies would have to lose two games. The Giants would also have to lose 2 games. It's still possible!

Key Games:

Anything that involves the White Sox, Indians, Twins, Phillies, Mets, Brewers, Giants, and Cardinals!


Thanks for reading!

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