Manny Machado signed for a 10 year, $300 million contract in the 2018-2019 offseason with the Padres. Now, we're starting to realize that it could have been the best signing of the offseason not to sign Manny Machado.
First, a little backstory. Machado was drafted by the Orioles in the 1st round of the 2010 MLB Draft out of high school, and he signed soon after. After Spending all of 2010 and 2011 in the minors, Machado was called up straight out of AA. He was okay as a teenager in the big leagues, but the next year he broke out. He was an all-star that year for the Orioles, bringing plus defense and a tick above average hitting.
He started to add on home runs, and in 2015-2016 he made two straight all-star appearances. 2017 was a down year, and he broke out in 2018 with the Orioles before being traded to the Dodgers to make the last out of the World Series (just kidding). So when he hit the free agent market after an amazing 2019, Machado expected at least $300 million.
The White Sox and the Padres were mainly in contention to sign him. The Sox signed his brother in law Yonder Alonso and best friend Jon Jay, and it was looking like Machado would sign with the White Sox.
So when he ended up signing with the Padres, well, let's just say that White Sox fans were a bit surprised.
As I was looking at his splits, it was funny that Machado did better in losses than wins. That was a bit odd, but he also batted better as a SS than as a 3B. At that point I was scared to look at what happened in the different months, but it looks like he did well in May, June, and July, and struggled in April, August, and September. His season OPS ended up being .796, which was weird because none of his monthly OPSs ended up in the .700 range.
To say that Manny Machado was inconsistent is an understatement. He was either a poor hitter in a month or an above average hitter. He ended up with a slashline of .256/.334/.462 with 32 HR. That is not a bad year, but is it worth $300 million? No. That plus he didn't have the same plus defense? Machado was not worth the money in 2019.
It could have just been a down year for Machado. But he was 27 years old in the 2019 season, and players don't have down years in their prime.
The White Sox ended up saving all of that money, and they went out and spent a lot of money in the 2019-2020 offseason. So overall, the White Sox are the real winners here. And the Padres? Well, they're the losers.
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